Backtesting Optimal Portfolios based on Forecasting Models

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45,90 

An empirical study on the US equity market

ISBN: 3639491459
ISBN 13: 9783639491456
Autor: Kranner, Stephan/Christl, Michael
Verlag: AV Akademikerverlag
Umfang: 220 S.
Erscheinungsdatum: 30.01.2014
Auflage: 1/2014
Format: 1.4 x 22 x 15
Gewicht: 346 g
Produktform: Kartoniert
Einband: Kartoniert
Artikelnummer: 6165719 Kategorie:

Beschreibung

This book shows that, given a simple linear model for trading-costs, portfolios with short holding periods (weekly or biweekly) cannot outperform the underlying index (S&P 100). There is empirical evidence that monthly restructuring leads to the optimal trade-off between superior performance and higher trading-costs. Additionally, it is shown that linear forecasting is not a useful tool for portfolio optimization. The empirical analysis points out that a portfolio with forecasts can almost never outperform a portfolio without forecasts in the long-run. In the short-run, however, it might be possible, but only in a stable environment where no jumps in the stock price occur.

Autorenporträt

The authors studied Quantitative Finance at the Vienna University of Economics and Business. Stephan Kranner is currently working at a research institute focusing on strategic asset allocation in Vienna. Michael Christl is currently working in economic research for the Austrian think tank "Agenda Austria".

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